The closer you are to being at or above a KP line, the better your chances are of seeing the aurora borealis. 325 Broadway, Boulder CO 80305, 27-Day Outlook of 10.7 cm Radio Flux and Geomagnetic Indices, Report and Forecast of Solar and Geophysical Activity, Geoalert - Alerts, Analysis and Forecast Codes, Geospace Ground Magnetic Perturbation Maps, North American (US Region) Total Electron Content, Geoelectric Field 1-Minute (Empirical EMTF - 3D Model), STORM Time Empirical Ionospheric Correction, Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO). I created this website as a guide for those who want to learn all about the northern lights and how to view and photograph them. I first saw the Northern lights (or aurora borealis) from Marblehead in March 2015 during what was at the time the strongest solar storm to hit Earth in years. CME incoming Oct 24/25. The Big Dipper may give you a hint which direction the aurora could be if you are confused by looking at your phone, or if you have no signal. Take a look at SWPC's POES Auroral Activity page to see the latest Activity Level. The KML file can be downloaded at this link, but there are some bugs with the Google My Maps viewer. Aurora coronae likely Post Tags: # aurora # aurora borealis # Kp # Kp levels # NOAA. It’s important to note that Northern lights are natural phenomena and even we find the … Moon phases can also be found on the web. Check the Aurora Forecast and look for KP rating of 5 or above for the best chances to see northern lights. These predictions are updated weekly by the NOAA SWPC. Image should be used as a guide only, it is based on predicted … - View a list of the best locations to view from right now. This is why Tasmania and New Zealand commonly see the southern lights while other continents do not. * Corrected magnetic latitude The brightness and location of the aurora is typically shown as a green oval centered on Earth’s magnetic pole. “The Kp number is a system of measuring aurora strength. This will give you the KP number prediction for the Aurora for the next hour or so. If the Kp-index is slightly less than the line shows for a given location, the aurora may still appear low on the horizon. Another indication of geomagnetic activity is the NOAA POES Auroral Activity Level, which is a number from 1 to 10. Kp maps of midnight equatorward boundaries. If the GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST is for "storm" levels SWPC expects Kp indices of 5 or greater. The map graphic shown here is indicative of where the aurora are most visible, but they can appear at lower latitudes. The map above shows you what the Kp-index needs to be to see the aurora overhead at a given location. 2. On the night you wish to view, periodically check the real-time Aurora Borealis Forecast. If the current Kp-index is greater than the line shown on the map, the aurora will often fill the entire sky. The two maps show the North and South poles of Earth respectively. The Space Weather Prediction Center's Solar-Geophysical Forecast for the next 24 hours (see SWPC's Space Weather Enthusiasts dashboard) might also be of help. Below you'll find the daily maximum expected global geomagnetic conditions (Kp) for the coming 27 days. Putting It All Together -- Can I, or can't I, see the Aurora? There is a simple index called Kp, a number from 0 to 9, which is used to refer to geomagnetic activity for a 3-hour period. A simulated view of the current auroral oval can be seen on the live data page. The stronger the Aurora, the larger the KP number and the further south it can be seen. Seeing the aurora is a goal for many, but a lot of people don't know how. The Kp number is a system of measuring aurora strength. The following KP map gives us a very detailed explanation. Usually, it’s rare that the scale ranges higher than 8, so be sure to catch the sight of the dancing lights even at low Kp-index numbers. So, how do you know what your magnetic latitude is? KP Northern Lights forecast. Check out this map to see what approximate Kp levels are needed in your area. The first chart on the Aurora page shows the observed KP index for the last 3 days. This is when a camera is helpful to pick up fainter displays. It’s not an exact science as other factors come into play (cloud cover and daylight for example) but roughly speaking, the Kp forecast provides a reasonable indication as to where the Aurora Borealis might appear.. The geomagnetic north pole is currently (as of 2020) located at 80.7°N, 72.7°W, Ellesmere Island, Canada. Hourly Forecast. DarkSiteFinder We have several methods to help you: When geomagnetic activity is low, the aurora typically is located, in the hours around midnight, at about 67 degrees magnetic latitude*. The range goes from 0 to 9 (0 being calm, 1 very weak, all the way up to 9, which would represent a major geomagnetic storm with strong auroras visible). Reading the Charts. AuroraMap is a live Northern Lights forecast map. This is the 'kp' indicator. The auroral oval is a ring around the earth’s poles where the aurora likes to hang out. A geomagnetic storm starts at Kp5 after which the G-scale is also used. This explains why locations near the US-Canada border see the aurora a couple times a month on average while similar latitudes in Europe virtually never see the lights. I plotted 360 coordinate points in each hemisphere. The Kp-Index provides a valuable estimate of where the Northern Lights might be visible. The map above shows you what the Kp-index needs to be to see the aurora overhead at a given location. Check the Space Weather Prediction Center's bar plot of Estimated Planetary Kp to see what has been happening during the past couple of days. closer to the north (or south) pole. There are maps for four quadrants of the globe: The average equatorward boundary of the midnight aurora is shown for levels of magnetic activity ranging from relatively low, Kp=3, to very high, Kp=9. Additional information about the aurora can be found in the SWPC topic paper on the aurora. Aurora map You can use your phone or GPS or a map. Aurora borealis lights up the skies above Michigan’s Upper Peninsula on Lake Superior. This means that North America has a big advantage when it comes to seeing the northern lights. Pale green colour more obvious. Below are screenshots of what the app looks like (taken right now in broad daylight so these are not good stats for seeing an aurora) Kp 4 – Active – Bright, constant and dynamic northern lights visible. During the strongest of geomagnetic storms faint auroras have even been spotted in the southern US. The green ovals turn red when the aurora is forecasted to be more intense. So by the time you see a geomagnetic storm is going on it may already be over. It goes from 0 to 9 (0 being very weak, 9 being a major geomagnetic storm with strong auroras visible). On a graph of Kp, there are four lines, indicating Kp values equal to 3, 5, 7, and 9.If the number forecasted is greater or equal to the number on the map for our location, we may see an aurora. As activity increases, the region of aurora expands toward the equator. Get Aurora Alerts customized for your location. Further down on this page is a table that shows how Kp and the Auroral Activity Level compare with each other. kevin@seetheaurora.com See the current Kp-index on the Live Data page. The light blue Kp0 line represents the location of the auroral oval. The downside to this chart is it only updates 8 times per day (every 3 hours). Cameras that are within the dark area can show the polar lights if other conditions are good. Of course, in interior and northern Alaska, northern Canada, and northern Europe, the aurora can be seen in every direction when the Kp level is high. Tonight is predicted to be a Kp 5, possible 6. The aurora is easily visible even when its boundary is 4 or 5 degrees poleward of your location. You might even be in luck if you are located within next lower line, but you will have to look lower on the horizon. Using those data, the typical maximum extent of the aurora toward the equator for the hours around midnight for four levels of geomagnetic activity is displayed. The Ovation map is created using real time data about solar winds and the interplanetary magnetic field to provide a 30 to 40 minute forecast as to locations from where the Aurora may be visible. So instead of writing my beauty review, I jumped in the car and drove to Rockport MA where a number of members of the GAAC had seen the aurora in the past. Magnetometers measure the strength of Earth’s magnetic field to determine the K-index, which is tied to a specific station. Faint aurorae visible in photographs, low in the northern sky; Locations directly underneath the auroral oval can see the lights on almost any clear dark night. Read below about Kp maps (clickable in the future) that will give you the magnetic latitude at a location on the globe. Planetary KP Index. If you are located at or above the estimated Kp line, you are in the right spot. With this app, you'll be seeing the Northern Lights in no time. In the table below, find a city not far from where you live, and make a note of its magnetic latitude. Unsettled means the Kp=4, and Storm means the Kp is between 5 and 9. Now, find the Kp number line on one of the following maps that matches the Kp number predicted above. These maps were created using satellite observations to determine the average equatorward boundary of the aurora as a function of the Kp index**. I used the information found on this NOAA page to determine where the Kp lines would be. Long term Kp forecast. Of course, for you to see the aurora it will also have to be a clear night without interference from city lights or moonlight. On the following map, the Kp of 7 line is north of Boston and across southern New Hampshire. When geomagnetic activity is very high, the aurora may be seen at mid and low latitude locations around the earth that would otherwise rarely experience the polar lights. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Using real-time solar wind data from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft, matched with data obtained from a network of magnetometers located worldwide, we are able to forecast, with reasonable accuracy, how the Northern Lights will behave up to one hour in advance.The image shows estimated aurora activity now. Kp 3 – Unsettled – Bright auroras visible at zenith. In function of the current Auroral conditions (Kp), the solar wind speed and density can boost the confidence of the possibility of … Previous. While the Kp Index is always a useful indicator of the strength of geomagnetic activity in our atmosphere, the Ovation map actually tells us if the Aurora is visible from our current position. The Kp graph will give you detailed Kp information, and the gauge on the right will keep a measure of the Bz and solar wind in real time. Once you know your magnetic latitude, and how high the Kp index needs to be for you to see the aurora at your magnetic latitude, it comes down to choosing a viewing time of high magnetic activity by frequently checking the Kp index and SWPC forecast. The green areas (Aurora Oval) mark the regions in which you have a good chance of observing the northern lights in the next half hour. According to the KP value of that day, it means that you can see the northern lights on that line or in higher regions. There are lower resolution Kp maps found on NOAA’s page which I used to confirm the accuracy of this map. Generally once the Kp-index reaches a certain threshold it will fill the northern half of the sky (in the northern hemisphere) all the way up to the zenith along the corresponding line on the map. 3. The average equatorward boundary of the midnight aurora is shown for levels of magnetic activity ranging from relatively low, Kp=3, to very high, Kp=9. The following information – from the book Your Guide to the Northern lights and night sky above Iceland (published in early 2019)– describes how different Kp-indices look like as seen from Iceland: Kp 0 – Quiet – Aurora oval mostly to the north of Iceland. - Map showing how strong the aurora is around the world, based on the SWPC ovation auroral forecast. This shows the current level of aurora activity which can give an estimate of how far south aurora may be seen. It is actually centered around the geomagnetic poles, which are different from the geographic poles. Please read The Northern Lights page for more details about Kp. Find the KP number for your location on one of the maps below. Don’t forget that “Half the park is after dark.” If you are lucky enough to be here during a showing of the northern lights, Lake McDonald and Goat Haunt offer great open views to the north. The aurora oval is the best guess of where the northern lights are right now. 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